Beyond here there is aproximately a 75% chance there is a blueberry scone left when you want to buy it. There is also a 95% chance that you shouldn't have the scone anyway. Calculating the probability that there is a scone available when you should have it is left as an exercise to the reader. (Show your work.)
On a related note, 30% of the people will believe whatever statistic you tell them.
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Beyond here there is aproximately a 75% chance there is a blueberry scone left when you want to buy it. There is also a 95% chance that you shouldn't have the scone anyway. Calculating the probability that there is a scone available when you should have it is left as an exercise to the reader. (Show your work.)
On a related note, 30% of the people will believe whatever statistic you tell them.
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